Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 0.026698 0.028860 0.031027 0.033357 0.035788 0.038246 0.040917
2025-08-17 0.022157 0.025549 0.029073 0.032989 0.037204 0.041588 0.046478
2025-08-24 0.019394 0.023480 0.027839 0.032799 0.038251 0.044029 0.050583
2025-08-31 0.017206 0.021761 0.026734 0.032508 0.038965 0.045913 0.053901
2025-09-07 0.015526 0.020440 0.025921 0.032396 0.039748 0.047759 0.057072
2025-09-14 0.013833 0.018967 0.024816 0.031843 0.039938 0.048863 0.059345
2025-09-21 0.012348 0.017630 0.023773 0.031274 0.040032 0.049793 0.061364
2025-09-28 0.010905 0.016245 0.022588 0.030464 0.039780 0.050275 0.062825
2025-10-05 0.010440 0.016032 0.022778 0.031247 0.041356 0.052826 0.066622
2025-10-12 0.009798 0.015551 0.022605 0.031567 0.042364 0.054704 0.069636
2025-10-19 0.008976 0.014787 0.022040 0.031377 0.042739 0.055826 0.071762
2025-10-26 0.008711 0.014737 0.022356 0.032251 0.044376 0.058414 0.075580
2025-11-02 0.007890 0.013945 0.021759 0.032055 0.044808 0.059693 0.078014
2025-11-09 0.007046 0.013081 0.021048 0.031711 0.045069 0.060795 0.080283
2025-11-16 0.006346 0.012366 0.020492 0.031525 0.045494 0.062068 0.082732
2025-11-23 0.005677 0.011644 0.019884 0.031240 0.045770 0.063141 0.084928
2025-11-30 0.005130 0.011061 0.019433 0.031131 0.046243 0.064436 0.087377
2025-12-07 0.004494 0.010288 0.018680 0.030592 0.046147 0.065021 0.088960
2025-12-14 0.003914 0.009553 0.017939 0.030036 0.046005 0.065528 0.090433
2025-12-21 0.003327 0.008744 0.017051 0.029245 0.045531 0.065604 0.091365
2025-12-28 0.003201 0.008721 0.017305 0.030010 0.047068 0.068168 0.095322
2026-01-04 0.002970 0.008490 0.017238 0.030322 0.048009 0.069990 0.098374
2026-01-11 0.002639 0.008044 0.016825 0.030137 0.048287 0.070975 0.100400